Scott Alexander, curated
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[ACC] What Are The Benefits, Harms, And Ethics Of Infant Circumcision?

Quality
68
Strong
Claude Shift
48
Moderate
RWI
3
of 10

Summary

A 2019 Adversarial Collaboration Contest entry (Joel P and Missingno) weighing the benefits, harms, and ethics of infant circumcision. Rigorous, balanced evidence review: reduced penile cancer (~90%, via phimosis/HPV), the three large African RCTs showing ~50% reduction in female-to-male HIV transmission (with the important caveat that it can reduce condom use), UTI reduction in the first year (specifically a benefit of INFANT circumcision), penile-problem tradeoffs, surgery risks (much lower for neonates), the weak/mixed sensitivity-and-satisfaction evidence, and a genuinely even-handed ethics section (utilitarian calculus favors it; an autonomy-first system can reasonably reject an irreversible non-consented procedure). A solid, honest ACC.

Why this score

Quality 68 · Strong. Strong (68): a competent, evidence-dense, admirably balanced adversarial collaboration; held mid-Strong as a synthesis of existing evidence on a bounded topic, comparable to the other ACCs in the corpus.

Claude’s paradigm shift 48 · Moderate. Moderate (48): little novel argument; the value is in the fair, rigorous synthesis and the even-handed ethics framing.

Real-world impact 3 · Moderate. Moderate (3): a contest entry that usefully informs the circumcision debate for its readership; niche footprint.