Too Much Dark Money In Almonds
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Follow-up reading
↳ Tech PACs Are Closing In On The Almonds — revisits the almond-money thesis · Oct 2025
Summary
Reframes the cliche 'too much money in politics' into Ansolabehere's puzzle: why is there so LITTLE? The iconic almond benchmark — all US political spending combined (candidates ~$5B + lobbying $3.5B + think tanks $0.5B + every advocacy org) is less than the $12B US almond industry, and Elon Musk could personally fund the entire two-sided political ecosystem. Media properties are priced as pure cash cows (political-influence value ~$0); ideologies paywall their own propaganda; Tumblr sold for $3M. The puzzle deepens for ordinary people, the rich, and corporations (Exxon spends ~$1M/cycle when 4% of revenue would dwarf all of politics). The answer: coordination problems (per 'Does Class Warfare Have A Free Rider Problem?') — $2 of almonds gets you $2 of almonds, but $2 on Bernie gets nothing unless millions also give. 'People are great at spending money on direct consumption goods, and terrible at spending money on coordination problems' — which is also why money stays out of charity, and why he champions the 10% pledge as a way to 'mow through' the problem.
Why this score
Quality 79 · Excellent. A famous, genuinely illuminating reframe — the surprising smallness of political money, benchmarked by the iconic almond comparison, with a sharp coordination-problem explanation and a clean tie-in to charity and the 10% pledge. Excellent-low.
Claude’s paradigm shift 62 · Notable shift. The 'why is there so LITTLE money in politics, and it's a coordination problem' reframe, with the almond benchmark, is a fresh and memorable inversion of the standard framing. Notable.
Real-world impact 2 · Minor. A widely-cited reframe within the discourse (and a stated motivation for the giving pledge); influence is conceptual, not material. Within-blog influence.