Scott Alexander, curated
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SSC Journal Club: Analytical Thinking Style And Religion

Quality
71
Strong
Claude Shift
52
Moderate
RWI
3
of 10

Summary

A journal-club dissection of Gervais & Norenzayan's 'analytic thinking promotes religious disbelief' paper (five studies including Thinker-sculpture and word-scramble 'priming'). The Reproducibility Project's direct replication of the Thinker-priming study is flatly negative, and the font-priming effect has been falsified by 16 replications. Scott worries specifically because these studies have SIMPLE stats, ONLINE administration (little experimenter-effect room), and MULTIPLE converging sub-studies — three things that 'should' protect against failure but didn't. Then the twist: Pennycook's meta-analysis (35 studies, 15,000 subjects) shows the underlying CRT-religion correlation (r=-0.20) is probably REAL and independent of IQ, even as priming is dead. Ends with eight calibrated takeaways and the running 'stare at The Thinker' gag. Careful and instructive.

Why this score

Quality 71 · Strong. Strong (71): a rigorous, honest replication/meta-analysis walkthrough with a genuine payoff (simple/online/multi-study don't guarantee replication; the real effect survives while the priming doesn't); held FIRM below Excellent as a journal-club analysis of one literature.

Claude’s paradigm shift 52 · Moderate. Moderate (52): the 'these safeguards should have worked but didn't' framing plus the real-effect-survives-priming-dies synthesis is a fresh contribution.

Real-world impact 3 · Moderate. Moderate (3): reinforces replication-skepticism norms in the rationalist-science readership; niche footprint.